Scientists have warned that "thousands" of asteroids large enough to obliterate a city remain "undiscovered", and humanity might not know they’re headed our way until it’s too late.
Data from the NSF–DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory revealed over 11,000 new asteroids detected.
The Rubin Observatory issued its first scientific alerts in February, marking a historic milestone in astrophysics.
These first alerts start a new era of dynamic, real-time observation of the night sky.
Recent estimates presented by planetary defence experts suggest that more than 15,000 of the roughly 25,000 asteroids capable of unleashing city-level destruction — each at least 140 metres across — are still "untracked" in our cosmic neighbourhood.
That means only about 40% of this dangerous "population" has been catalogued by current detection systems.
“This is exactly what keeps me up at night,” said Dr. Kelly Fast, acting planetary defense officer at NASA, recalling her stark warning to a scientific audience in Arizona.
“Small stuff hits us all the time, and the massive ones from the movies we already know about. It’s the ones in between that could do regional — not global — damage, and we don’t know where they are.”
These so-called “city killers” don’t draw as much attention as the giant asteroids that wiped out the dinosaurs 66 million years ago — but they’re far more numerous and far harder to spot.
Most are too dim for conventional telescopes, often hidden in glare or masked by the vastness of space, making them extremely elusive.
Nasa’s current arsenal of detection infrastructure includes ground-based telescopes and space missions like the retired NEOWISE, which for years scanned the heavens for hazardous objects.
However, scientists acknowledge that without knowing an asteroid’s location far in advance, astronauts and engineers have no practical defense system ready to deflect a sudden threat.
The 2022 DART mission successfully nudged a small asteroid to test planetary defence technology — but that capability is not on standby in space today.
Experts say the real peril stems not from tiny rocks that burn up harmlessly in Earth’s atmosphere, nor from the exceptionally large asteroids that scientists already track.
Instead, it’s the intermediate-sized behemoths — large enough to obliterate an entire metropolitan area.
Many of them remain largely invisible, quietly orbiting and eluding detection until it’s too late.
In 2013, the world was reminded of this danger when a house-sized asteroid exploded over Chelyabinsk, Russia, with the force of hundreds of thousands of tonnes of TNT.
The blast injured more than 1,600 people, broke windows, and sent shockwaves across the region — and it arrived without any prior warning.
